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GMP— what is the grey market premium?

Carlsberg India IPO

Carlsberg India Limitedcarlsbergindia.com

AnnouncedMainboardConsumer StaplesNSE · BSE
Price band
—
Issue size
—

Split not disclosed

Lot size
—
Bidding
—

Listing date to be set

Grey market
—

No quote recorded

Market data to 17 Oct 2026. Company figures are as filed, sourced 17 Oct 2026. Every figure’s origin is listed under Sources.

IPOVista score

How this issue scores, and why

Every pillar opens to show the raw metric, the curve it was mapped through, the sub-score and its weight. Disagree with the weighting if you like — the arithmetic is all here.

59Balanced
IPOVista score 59 out of 100, graded Balanced.

IPOVista score

A trade-off in both directions

60% of the scoring model was backed by disclosed data for Carlsberg India, giving medium confidence. Weights for anything missing were redistributed rather than scored as zero.

How this score is built
PillarScoreWeight

Below the line: market sentiment. Capped at 8 of 100 points so a hot grey market can tilt a score but never carry one.

The IPOVista Score is a transparent summary of disclosed fundamentals and issue terms. It is research, not investment advice, and it cannot predict listing performance.

The company

What the business actually does

Founded 2006 · Gurugram, Haryana (corporate office); registered office at Saket, New Delhi · part of Carlsberg Group (Carlsberg A/S / Carlsberg Breweries A/S, Copenhagen, Denmark)

Carlsberg India Limited brews and sells beer in India. Production began at Paonta Sahib, Himachal Pradesh, in June 2007, and the company now runs seven owned breweries — Paonta Sahib, Alwar (Rajasthan), Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar (Maharashtra), Sangareddy (Telangana), Dharuhera (Haryana), Hooghly (West Bengal) and Mysuru (Karnataka) — alongside eight contract manufacturers. The portfolio is Tuborg Strong, Tuborg Green, Tuborg Classic with Scotch Malts, Carlsberg Smooth, Carlsberg Elephant and 1664. Strong beer above 5% ABV is roughly 80% of the Indian market, and Tuborg Strong is both the company's largest brand and the second-largest beer brand in the country. Across the states it sells in, which carry about 80% of industry volume, Carlsberg held 22% share at H1 2025 against the leader's 52%, up from 5% in 2011. Beer reaches drinkers through about 100,000 licensed outlets.

Volume earnings squeezed through a state-run gauntlet. At its October 2025 capital markets day Carlsberg showed that across its top eight states, state taxes take 55-65% of the shelf price and the brewer keeps only 16-31% of consumer price as net sales revenue, with pricing flexibility in just two of those eight. Some 62% of industry volume moves through government-controlled corporations and 24% through auctioned licences; consumer advertising is banned outright. Capacity is the binding constraint: volume grew 63% between 2017 and 2024 against a 20% capacity increase, owned capacity has been flat since 2018, and utilisation peaks near 90%. Revenue compounded 9% a year and volume 7% a year over 2017-2024.

The company on paper

Legal name
Carlsberg India Limited
IncorporatedThe legal entity is often incorporated years before the brand you know, and may have traded under another name first
3 May 2006
CINCorporate Identity Number — the unambiguous handle for looking this company up at the MCA
U15111DL2006PLC148579
Parent group
Carlsberg Group (Carlsberg A/S / Carlsberg Breweries A/S, Copenhagen, Denmark)
Sector
Consumer Staples · Brewer: beer production and state-wise distribution in India
Registered office
Gurugram, Haryana (corporate office); registered office at Saket, New Delhi
Promoters
Carlsberg Breweries A/S, Carlsberg South Asia Pte. Ltd.
Promoter holding, pre-issue
100.0%

The numbers

Financial performance

Revenue has compounded at 4.7% a year across the 3 reported financial years.

Revenue and profit

Figures in ₹ crore, as reported in the prospectus. Interim quarters are not annualised.

  • Revenue
  • Profit after tax

Margin trend

Profit and operating margin as a percentage of revenue

  • Net margin
  • EBITDA margin

Net worth and borrowings

At each period end, in ₹ crore. Gearing below each period is borrowings over net worth, from these same figures.

  • Net worth
  • Total borrowings

Profit against cash generated

Profit after tax and net cash from operating activities, in ₹ crore. The figure under each period is cash generated per ₹100 of profit.

  • Profit after tax
  • Operating cash flow

Above 100% the business collects more cash than it books as profit. Persistently below it, growth is being funded out of working capital.

The price

Valuation

Ratios as disclosed in the prospectus, calculated at the upper end of the price band. P/E is always shown on post-issue earnings so issues stay comparable with each other.

P/E at the band, post-issue
Not priced yet

No price band has been fixed yet, so there is no multiple to quote

Median P/E of its named peers
71.6×

4 listed companies the prospectus names itself

What you pay

Earnings and sales behind one share, and the multiple the band asks for them.

EPS, pre-issue (FY26)
₹9.28
EPS, post-issueNot disclosed, so computed from FY26 profit after tax and the disclosed share count — this is the figure the multiple above is built on
₹9.28
Price / sales
—
Net asset value per shareBook value behind one share — a floor, not a target
₹37.31

What it earns on what it has

Returns and margins on FY26. These are the figures that say whether the multiple above is deserved.

Return on net worthAs disclosed in the prospectus, on its own formula — Indian issuers define RoNW on average net worth, not closing.
24.9%
Return on capital employed
61.7%
EBITDA margin
9.3%
Net margin
6.1%

What it owes

Gearing at the latest balance-sheet date.

Debt to equityAs disclosed in the prospectus. Issuers divide by total equity, which includes non-controlling interests — a wider base than the net worth used for RoNW.
0.01×

Valuation against listed peers

Asking P/E against operating margin. All marks are the same size — market capitalisation is not disclosed for every company here, and sizing only some of them would read as a measurement.

  • Carlsberg India
  • Listed peers
peer median 71.6×United Breweries Limi…United Spirits LimitedRadico Khaitan LimitedAllied Blenders and D…Price / earnings

Peer companies are those named in the issuer’s own prospectus. A higher position means better margins; further right means a more expensive multiple. Market capitalisation, where disclosed, is in the tooltip and the table. These figures are the prospectus’s, not today’s. A P/E is a price divided by earnings and the price half moves every day, so this comparison is as it stood on 23 Oct 2026 and is not refreshed. It is dated rather than chased on purpose: no reachable source publishes a current earnings figure per scrip, and putting a live price over a stale one would be a worse number than an openly old one.

The terms

How the issue is structured

Fresh issueNew shares — proceeds go to the company
₹0
Offer for saleExisting shares — proceeds go to the selling shareholders
—
Total issue size
—
Shares offered in the OFS
8,64,18,887
Pre-issue shares outstanding
57,61,25,910
Employee discount
—

Who the shares are reserved for

Share of the net offer set aside for each investor category

50%QIB

Select a category to see who bids in it and how allotment works there.

Percentages are of the net offer, which excludes any employee or shareholder reservation.

Use of proceeds

How the fresh issue will be spent

The prospectus states what the proceeds are for but attaches no amount to any of it, so there is nothing to scale a bar against.

Who owns it before the issue

1 holders of record. Percentages are of pre-issue paid-up equity, as stated in the offer document.

100.00%South Asian Breweries Pte. Ltd

Pre-issue. The offer document leaves the post-issue column to be filled at the prospectus stage, so it is not shown here.

Demand

What the market is bidding

Subscription is hard exchange data. Grey-market premium is not — it is an unofficial quote, shown because readers want it and labelled because it deserves the label.

Subscription by category

Cumulative bid multiples

No dates have been set yet, so bidding has not opened.

Grey market premium

Unofficial over-the-counter sentiment

No grey-market quotes have been recorded for this issue.

Work it out

What this means for one application

Three calculations, each stating the assumption it rests on.

What one application costs

Shares are applied for in whole lots at the cut-off price. The full amount is blocked in your bank account under ASBA, not debited, until allotment.

The lot size and price band are not fixed yet, so there is nothing to calculate.

Odds of getting an allotment

When the retail category is oversubscribed, SEBI requires a lottery for the minimum lot. Every application has the same chance, whatever its size.

Retail subscription figures are not available yet, so there is nothing to estimate from.

What the grey market implies

Arithmetic on an unofficial quote. The grey market has no clearing house and no obligation to settle — this is sentiment made numeric, not a forecast.

No grey-market quote has been recorded for this issue.

Our read

Easy to misread

Grounded only in figures disclosed in the prospectus. This is analysis, not a recommendation.

Easy to miss in the prospectus

  • The seven-brewery count is from Carlsberg India's own website. On 14 October 2026 the Rajasthan State Pollution Control Board ordered the Alwar brewery shut over particulate emissions measured at 633 mg/Nm3 against a permitted 80 mg/Nm3, and directed the local discom to disconnect power, so current operating capacity may be lower than seven.
  • Market share, pricing and growth figures in this record are Carlsberg Group's own capital-markets-day disclosures for its India footprint states (about 80% of industry volume), not all-India figures, and are dated H1 2025 or FY2024. They are parent-group investor material, not restated financials from an offer document.

Straight from the filing

Read it yourself

Every figure on this page comes out of these. Go and check them.

The paperwork

Who is running the issue

Lead managers
—
RegistrarAllotment status is checked on the registrar's own site
—

How these figures were checked

Reconciled to Carlsberg India's own prospectus and to exchange disclosures, then cross-checked against 5 other independently published compilations of the same filing. Where a stated ratio disagreed with the line items it should come from, the disagreement was settled against the prospectus itself.

The prospectus is the authoritative document. Check anything that matters against it before you act.

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